ECB Reverse Stress Test Exposes Gaps in Geopolitical Risk Data, Scenario Planning, and Capital Measu
The ECB's 2026 reverse stress test found that banks need stronger risk data aggregation, board-led scenario planning, and more realistic assumptions about crisis management actions. Supervisors identified weak links between capital, liquidity, and operational impacts, as well as overreliance on mitigating measures that may be unavailable when many banks act at once. Compliance teams should expect continued supervisory scrutiny of geopolitical risk and capital planning frameworks.


