Bundesbank Paper Finds De-Anchored Inflation Expectations Require More Aggressive Rate Response, Not
A Deutsche Bundesbank discussion paper (No. 27/2026) finds that optimal monetary policy should still look through sectoral shocks, such as energy price spikes, even if inflation expectations may de-anchor. However, the nominal interest rate response needed to achieve the same output and inflation outcomes is more aggressive. The paper creates no compliance obligations, but it is relevant to institutions' interest rate risk, stress testing, and scenario planning.


